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Home > Blog > Five things to watch in GOP presidential debate
WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 7, 2011

Five things to watch in GOP presidential debate

Republicans hoping to defeat President Obama meet tonight in the first of several debates over the next few weeks that could help shape the 2012 race.

If wildfires in Texas don't cause a change in his plans, Rick Perry will meet his GOP rivals in a face-to-face matchup for the first time since he joined -- and shook up -- the race on Aug. 13.

Perry, the Texas governor, sits atop Gallup and other national polls for the GOP nomination. He's been followed in those polls by Mitt Romney, a former Massachusetts governor making his second White House bid, and Sarah Palin, the 2008 GOP vice presidential nominee who has not yet declared her intentions.

Palin won't be on the stage at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library tonight, but in all eight candidates will debate at 8 p.m. ET on MSNBC. The debate is sponsored by Politico and NBC News.

Here are five things to watch and some questions posed by USA TODAY readers:

1) How will Rick Perry perform in his national debut?

This is a chance for the Texas governor to introduce himself to a national audience, and he's sure to get attacked by his opponents. Texas Rep. Ron Paul and a group supporting Minnesota Rep. Michele Bachmann already have gone after Perry.

Perry, the longest-serving Texas governor, is sure to bring up his record of creating jobs in the Lone Star state. Two ex-governors in the debate, Mitt Romney and Jon Huntsman, have recently outlined their economic and have been eager to claim the mantle as the top jobs creator.

"This is Perry's coming out as a presidential candidate," says Mark Rozell, a professor of public policy at George Mason University in Fairfax, Va. "It's his first opportunity to present himself in a substantive way. Right now, very few Americans have any real understanding of his positions on issues."

2) Can Mitt Romney make his case and reclaim ground lost to Perry?

In the two previous debates, Romney was at the top of the national polls for the nomination and was largely untouched by his rivals during those face offs. Perry has eclipsed Romney in eight national polls since joining the race.

"He has to do something to enthuse the core Republican base voter," Rozell says. "One new candidate jumps into the race and it knocks him out. That shows a real weakness to his candidacy."

3) Will Michele Bachmann get back her momentum?

Bachmann's momentum after her victory in the Iowa straw poll was short lived because of Perry's entrance into the race. Her first debate performance in New Hampshire helped Bachmann establish herself in the campaign, and vaulted her to the top of public opinion polls in Iowa, home to the first presidential caucuses.

The founder of the House Tea Party Caucus, Bachmann now finds herself battling with Perry and Romney for supporters of the small-government, anti-tax movement. A recent Gallup Poll showed Perry leads Bachmann and Romney by 21 percentage points among Tea Party supporters.

"Michele Bachmann needs to prove that she's more than Rick Perry's warmup act. She has to stand out in some way, which is tough because their positions are so similar," says John Pitney, a political scientist at Claremont McKenna College near Los Angeles.

4) Can Jon Huntsman go on the attack and gain ground?

Huntsman, most recently U.S. ambassador to China, has increasingly sharpened his attacks against Romney and Perry. He criticized Romney's jobs plan as "sadly similar to that of Obama's" and made an issue of Perry's beliefs on evolution and climate change.

This is Huntsman's chance to define himself by contrast to his rivals, and make his case to a national audience. He's averaging 1.3% in national polls on the race, according to RealClearPolitics.

5) What will Ron Paul, Newt Gingrich, Herman Cain and Rick Santorum do?

Paul, the Texas congressman with libertarian views, has a strong following and finished a close second to Bachmann in the Iowa straw poll. In a new ad, he notes his 1980 support of Reagan and takes on Perry.

Paul has done better than Gingrich, Cain and Santorum in Gallup and other national polls, but is well behind Perry in those surveys. Jesse Benton, Paul's campaign manager, was disappointed by the lack of media coverage of the Texas congressman after the Iowa straw poll.

Gingrich, the former House speaker; Cain, ex-CEO of Godfather's Pizza; and Santorum, a former Pennsylvania senator, have had trouble breaking through in the campaign.

Some USA TODAY readers have weighed in with questions they'd like to hear answered in the debate:

Jorma Larton wants to know about the candidates' religious beliefs and how they would affect the Republicans if they're elected to the White House.

"What would you specifically do to reduce the size of the federal government and the deficit?" asks reader Dick Edmunds.

"What would you do to reign in the federal government and return it to the principle activities outlined in the Constitution? asks Frank Rice.

www.reliableins.net

Posted 12:18 PM

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